Determinants Of CO2 Emissions In Turkey, France And Poland Depending On The Ipcc’s Emissions Scenarious
The atmospheric concentration of carbon-dioxide emissions (CO2) is increasing as the result of a variety of human
activities, of which the burning of fossil fuels is the most significant. Since early 1990s, steping into action due to control
greenhouse gases has been on the world’s agenda. According to The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPPC)
reports, by 2100 the world temperature will rise 1 to 3,5 degrees around. This situation points to an increase of about 0,1
degrees per decade. Taking into account all of these, using of energy more efficient and effective requires an understanding of
the rules played by the different factors affecting CO2production. The objective of this study is to identify factors in Poland,
France and Turkey by utilizing Log Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) method by Ang (2005). As a result, in the A2 scenario,
Poland and Turkey are influenced by the same effects, however these contributors are different for France. Moreover, the
economic activity effect and the population effect for France and Poland contribute to increase in CO2 emission while the
energy intensity effect and the carbon intensity effect contribute to decrease in the B1 scenario. Nevertheless, the energy
intensity effect and the carbon intensity effect are positive contributors for Turkey, but the population effect and the economic
activity effect are caused a fall.
Index Terms- Carbon Dioxide Emissions, Log Mean Divisia Index, Policies, The Decomposition Method.