Paper Title
Comparative Study of Coffee Crop Yield Prediction based on Agronomic Factors using Machine Learning
Abstract
Coffee is the most burned-through handled drink beside water, which is said to be the most exchanged cultivating
product followed by oil in the entire globe. The two most significant sorts of coffee assortment filled in India are Arabica
and Robusta out of 103 assortments of class coffee bean variety, which are economically exchanged around the planet. In
this regard, we are taking major plantation crop in India i.e., Coffee for our research to explore and develop a predictive
model for the development of coffee planters to take precise decisions in time during adverse situations in advance. Hence
we propose a framework for coffee yield prediction which using machine learning approach to estimate the influence of
agronomic factors to get a good coffee yield. Here, for our research work, the historic dataset is considered which is obtained
from Central Coffee Research Institute (CCRI), Karnataka for the year (2008-2019). For the coffee yield prediction, we are
considering agronomic factors like Age, Soil Nutrients: Organic carbon (OC), Phosphorus (P), Potassium (K), Alkaline
(pH), Zone and Respective yield obtained in chikkamagaluru region, Karnataka state, India. Different classifiers are used
namely, Extra Tree Classifier, Random Forest Classifier, Decision Tree, for prediction and performance of each is compared
and analyzed. Our results shown that Extra Tree Classifier and Random forest (RF) classifier with a precision of 91% with
good results based on performance metrics considered respectively is an effective and versatile machine-learning method
compared to other algorithms used. Subsequently offering a precise choice help instrument with forecast results which
encourages the coffee bean grower to settle on choice in unfriendly conditions.
Keywords - Machine Learning (ML), Agronomic Factors, Coffee, Extra Tree Classifier, Random Forest Classifier, Decision
Tree Classifier, Yield Prediction